The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 24.4%
Draw 25.6%
Omiya Ardija 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
24.1%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
23.3%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Koma R. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 40. Higuchi D. 46. Yasunaga R. 30. Sawazaki R. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.
24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 88. Nishio R. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 7. Kojima M. 11. Caprini 45. Yamamoto O. 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A. 1. Kambayashi G. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 7. Matsuoka R. 27. Ninomiya J. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S.
5. Gabriel 20. Hidaka H. 6. Ishikawa T. 17. Kanda T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 27. Matsui T. 22. Motegi R. 23. Sugimoto K. 33. Wada T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Fukazawa Y. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Kato H. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Yasunaga R. ⚽, Higuchi D. (A),
45+2', Kojima M. 🟨,
45+4', 3 - 1, Kato T. ⚽, Yasunaga R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Izumi T. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
54', Yasunaga R. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
58', 4 - 1, Kato T. ⚽,
62', Murakami Y. ↓, Kanda T. ↑,
62', Kojima M. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
62', Sunday O. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
71', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
75', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
85', Oda I. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
85', Sawazaki R. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
Matsumoto Yamaga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Omiya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Omiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Omiya is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Omiya Ardija - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.75%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Koma R. (G) 
Glover T. (G) 
Caprini 
Sunday O. 
