Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 15

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.55	7.7	Watch
	1.33	4.87	9.18
	1.36	4.93	7.67	Watch
	1.25	5	8
	1.33	5.28	7.79	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)	4.76 ↑ (3.95)	7.59 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
68.3%

Draw
19.5%

Nagano Parceiro
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Consadole Sapporo's performance.

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagano Parceiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Consadole Sapporo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Consadole Sapporo - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Consadole Sapporo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Tagawa T. (G) 2. Takao R. 47. Nishino S. 15. Ieizumi R. 3. Park Min-Gyu 18. Kido S. 31. Horigome Y. 30. Tanaka H. 27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 23. Omori S.	21. Nakano K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 7. Ono Y. 4. Gyotoku E. 16. Ishii K. 15. Higuchi K. 22. Yoshida K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 10. Yamanaka R. 28. Fujikawa K. 51. Shimizu S.
Substitutes
20. Bakayoko A. 35. Hara K. 39. Kawahara H. 19. Puethong T. 22. Safo K. 71. Shirai H. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 14. Tanaka K. 55. Umetsu R.	19. Ito K. 20. Kano H. 17. Kutsuna K. 31. Makino K. (G) 30. Nojima K. 9. Osaki S. 2. Sakai S. 13. Tsukegi Y. 24. Watanabe Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Arano T. ⚽, Takao R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
57', Nakata S. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
57', Higuchi K. ↓, Ito K. ↑,
59', Gyotoku E. 🟨,
64', Horigome Y. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
67', Ishii K. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
73', Omori S. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
73', Hasegawa T. ↓, Safo K. ↑,
73', Arano T. ↓, Kawahara H. ↑,
74', Fujikawa K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
82', Kido S. ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Bakayoko A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Consadole Sapporo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nagano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Consadole Sapporo is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Consadole Sapporo will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Gifu - Consadole Sapporo	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ventforet Kofu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties

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