Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 30

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Consadole Sapporo		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.47	3.36	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.75
	2.55	3.43	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.6	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.63)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	2.67 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
37.4%

Draw
27.5%

Tokyo Verdy
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 33. Kondo T. 25. Osaki L. 88. Baba S. 11. Aoki R. 14. Komai Y. 19. Sarachat S. 7. Suzuki M.	1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 23. Tsunashima Y. 15. Chida K. 3. Taniguchi H. 6. Miyahara K. 7. Morita K. 8. Saito K. 22. Onaga H. 18. Yamada F. 11. Yamami H. 20. Kimura Y.
Substitutes
27. Arano T. 20. Bakayoko A. 17. Kodama J. (G) 10. Miyazawa H. 6. Nakamura T. 9. Sanchez J. 4. Suga D.	4. Hayashi N. 33. Matsuhashi Y. 47. Matsumura Y. 10. Miki T. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 9. Someno I. 14. Tiago Alves
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Jofuku H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Takao R. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
23', Osaki L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sarachat S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Yamada F. ⚽,
55', Yamami H. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
55', Yamada F. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
64', Aoki R. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
64', Osaki L. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
68', Saito K. ↓, Miki T. ↑,
69', Sanchez J. 🟨,
69', Chida K. 🟨,
70', Suzuki M. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
72', Arano T. 🟨,
87', Kimura Y. ↓, Tiago Alves ↑,
88', Morita K. ↓, Hayashi N. ↑,
90+8', 0 - 2, Tiago Alves ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tokyo Verdy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	JEF United Chiba - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
31.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
07.08.24	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.06.24	Tokyo Verdy - Consadole Sapporo	5:3
Japan J2 League
22.10.16	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
27.02.16	Tokyo Verdy - Consadole Sapporo	1:0
04.10.15	Tokyo Verdy - Consadole Sapporo	0:2
05.04.15	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
01.11.14	Tokyo Verdy - Consadole Sapporo	0:0
29.04.14	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	0:0

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