Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 29

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Consadole Sapporo		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.9	1.95
	3.26	3.95	1.93	Watch
	3.34	4.2	1.99
	3.57	4.13	1.9	Watch
	3.25	3.9	1.85
	3.5	4.07	1.94	Watch
	3.3	4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.79)	4.01 (4.01)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
27.7%

Draw
23.5%

Kawasaki Frontale
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.4%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22.7%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 25. Osaki L. 33. Kondo T. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 4. Suga D. 7. Suzuki M. 19. Sarachat S.	1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 2. Takai K. 5. Sasaki A. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 10. Oshima R. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 20. Yamada S.
Substitutes
27. Arano T. 20. Bakayoko A. 17. Kodama J. (G) 10. Miyazawa H. 6. Nakamura T. 71. Shirai H. 37. Tanaka K.	9. Erison 19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 7. Kurumaya S. 17. Tono D. 98. Yamaguchi L. (G) 26. Yamauchi H.
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
59', Osaki L. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
59', Sarachat S. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
64', Marcinho ↓, Tono D. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Aoki R. ⚽, Takao R. (A),
80', Ienaga A. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
80', Wermeskerken S. V. ↓, Erison ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Suzuki M. ⚽,
85', Yamada S. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
85', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
89', Suzuki M. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
90+6', Kondo T. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kawasaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 27-53.

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	JEF United Chiba - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.08.24	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	5:3 ✺
10.08.24	Consadole Sapporo - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
07.08.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTL
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
17.08.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:3 ✺
11.08.24	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3 ✺
07.08.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	2:3 ✺
14.07.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
11.05.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Consadole Sapporo	3:0
26.08.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Consadole Sapporo	2:2
01.04.23	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	3:4
Club Friendly
15.11.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	3:3
Japan J1 League
01.10.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	4:3
18.06.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Consadole Sapporo	5:2
28.08.21	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2

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