Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.55	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.64	2.38
	2.77	3.55	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	3.52 ↓ (3.71)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
33.4%

Draw
26.3%

V-Varen Nagasaki
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Consadole Sapporo - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Nakano K. (G) 2. Takao R. 15. Ieizumi R. 47. Nishino S. 6. Takamine T. 33. Kondo T. 25. Osaki L. 27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 14. Tanaka K. 71. Shirai H.	31. Harada G. (G) 23. Yoneda S. 25. Kushibiki K. 48. Teruyama H. 17. Takahata K. 6. Abe T. 10. Matheus Jesus 34. Matsumoto T. 8. Masuyama A. 9. Juanma Delgado 7. Marcos Guilherme
Substitutes
11. Aoki R. 20. Bakayoko A. 35. Hara K. 99. Izuma S. 31. Kido S. 13. Kim Gun-Hee 4. Nakamura T. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 30. Tanaka H.	36. Aoki S. 29. Arai I. 32. Diop S. 21. Ioka K. (G) 13. Kato M. 14. Nagura T. 19. Sawada T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Iwamasa D.	Shimotaira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Masuyama A. ⚽, Yoneda S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Osaki L. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Takahata K. (A),
55', Tanaka K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
61', Shirai H. ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
61', Hasegawa T. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
69', Masuyama A. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Kondo T. ⚽,
78', Matsumoto T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
78', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
80', Nishino S. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
87', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
87', Matheus Jesus ↓, Arai I. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Hara K. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 3.

Recent matches Consadole Sapporo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

V-Varen Nagasaki has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
25.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Consadole Sapporo	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
25.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	3:4 ✺
19.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Imabari - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
Japan J League Cup
24.04.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:6
13.03.19	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0
Japan J1 League
01.08.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	2:3
18.03.18	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1
Japan J2 League
18.09.16	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	0:0

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