The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 51.1%
Draw 25.7%
Iwaki 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
22.6%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
19.2%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that V-Varen Nagasaki's form might have worsened.
Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
V Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
V-Varen Nagasaki will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): V-Varen Nagasaki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Harada G. (G) 3. Sekiguchi M. 29. Arai I. 48. Teruyama H. 23. Yoneda S. 6. Abe T. 34. Matsumoto T. 10. Matheus Jesus 7. Marcos Guilherme 9. Juanma Delgado 19. Sawada T.
1. Hayasaka Y. (G) 4. Dohana K. 3. Endo R. 2. Ishida Y. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 6. Sakagishi K. 10. Tanimura K. 14. Yamaguchi D. 38. Kumata N.
Substitutes
36. Aoki S. 32. Diop S. 21. Goto M. (G) 13. Kato M. 25. Kushibiki K. 8. Masuyama A. 14. Nagura T. 17. Takahata K. 18. Yamasaki R.
22. Ikoma J. 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 13. Murakami H. 8. Shibata S. 25. Unoki F. 37. Yamauchi R.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.
Tamura Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Sakagishi K. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Yamashita Y. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 1, Juanma Delgado ⚽, Matsumoto T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Sakagishi K. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Ishiwatari N. ⚽, Kumata N. (A),
55', Sawada T. ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
55', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
62', Kumata N. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Kase N. ⚽, Yamaguchi D. (A),
71', Abe T. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Juanma Delgado ⚽,
78', Matsumoto T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
78', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Endo R. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
82', Dohana K. ↓, Ikoma J. ↑,
86', Tanimura K. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 4, Juanma Delgado ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
V-Varen Nagasaki has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Iwaki is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Iwaki have a series of guest games.
In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
Japan
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Harada G. (G) 
Matheus Jesus 
Juanma Delgado 
