Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.9	3.25	2.33	Watch
	3.03	3.35	2.47
	3.01	3.21	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.91	3.25	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
31.9%

Draw
28.9%

V-Varen Nagasaki
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Ventforet Kofu - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 19. Miyazaki J. 20. Endo H. 25. Hiratsuka Y. 7. Araki S. 14. Tanaka Y. 11. Kumakura K. 9. Mitsuhira K.	31. Harada G. (G) 23. Yoneda S. 29. Arai I. 48. Teruyama H. 17. Takahata K. 13. Kato M. 34. Matsumoto T. 14. Nagura T. 8. Masuyama A. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T.
Substitutes
97. Higashi J. (G) 2. Inoue M. 6. Kobayashi I. 22. Koide Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 44. Naito Y. 29. Oshima K. 48. Val Soares 4. Yamamoto H.	36. Aoki S. 21. Goto M. (G) 9. Juanma Delgado 25. Kushibiki K. 7. Marcos Guilherme 28. Nanamure A. 22. Nishimura R. 3. Sekiguchi M. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Otsuka S.	Shimotaira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Son T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Nagura T. 🟨,
61', Hiratsuka Y. ↓, Koide Y. ↑,
62', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
69', Nagura T. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
69', Masuyama A. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
79', Kumakura K. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
81', Sawada T. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
81', Yoneda S. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
88', Tanaka Y. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
90', Kato M. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 1.

Kofu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kofu won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Imabari - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Fujieda MYFC - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
24.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
20.10.23	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
Japan J2 League
12.04.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
02.07.22	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1
05.03.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:2

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