Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Copenhagen		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.85
	3.5	3.75	1.9
	3.95	3.85	1.87
	3.65	3.85	1.9
	3.96	4.01	1.88
	3.95	3.98	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.03)	3.91 ↑ (3.4)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
25.1%

Draw
24.4%

PSV Eindhoven
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

18.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Copenhagen's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Copenhagen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.4%	23.9%	62.7%

Copenhagen - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 9 - 13.4%). PSV will win (votes: 42 - 62.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 23.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 51.1% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg.

Copenhagen was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

PSV was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (58%), has a chance of semis (35%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

PSV will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Copenhagen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
13.03.22	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Copenhagen	4:4 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.03.22	Copenhagen - Randers FC	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Viborg - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Copenhagen - OB Odense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.22	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Copenhagen	4:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.22	Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.22	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Copenhagen	4:4

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