Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	Play Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Utrecht		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	5.75	5	1.45	Watch
	5.00	5.00	1.53
	5.9	4.8	1.47
	6.14	5.4	1.47
	5.62	5.16	1.47	Watch
	6	5.2	1.44
	6.24	5.16	1.48	Watch
	5.4	5.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.32)	5.12 ↑ (4.4)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utrecht
16.6%

Draw
18.6%

PSV Eindhoven
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

21.5%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

20.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrecht's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.4%	92.6%

Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - PSV (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 6. Offerhaus G. 21. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 23. Vesterlund N. 20. de Wit D. (C) 34. van den Berg D. 92. Zagre A. 11. Alarcon A. 10. Cathline Y. 9. Stepanov A.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 6. Flamingo R. 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 31. Fernandez N. 24. Sano K. 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G. 7. van Bommel R. 9. Pepi R.
Substitutes
15. Blake A. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 14. Iqbal Z. 32. Kloosterboer P. 47. Owen E. C. 35. Plantinga V. 53. Pohl F. 24. Schuldes J. 17. van Duijn S.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Geertruida L. 18. Kostic F. 21. Mijnans S. 41. Ngom K. (G) 1. Olij N. (G) 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Correia A.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Stepanov A. ⚽, Vesterlund N. (A),
11', 1 - 1, van Bommel R. ⚽,
15', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
34', de Wit D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Til G. ⚽, Dest S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', Zagre A. 🟨,
56', Vesterlund N. ↓, Kloosterboer P. ↑,
61', Alarcon A. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
61', van den Berg D. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
65', Fernandez N. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
65', Perisic I. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
72', Obispo A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Mauro Junior ⚽,
78', van Bommel R. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
78', Pepi R. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
84', Cathline Y. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
84', Obispo A. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
84', Zagre A. ↓, Owen E. C. ↑,
85', Barkas V. 🟨,
86', Mijnans S. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 1 - 4, Mijnans S. ⚽, Wanner P. (A),
88', 1 - 5, Til G. ⚽, Bouhamdi A. (A),
90+2', Horemans S. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 6, Dest S. ⚽, Bouhamdi A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 0.

Utrecht has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PSV is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.

In this match, PSV is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Utrecht: Agougil O. (Injury) Engwanda A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Plea A. (Injury) Schouten J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Pohl F. (Calf Injury) van Ommeren J. (Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Driouech C. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:53. (average 1.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.4:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
22.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
09.08.26	Groningen - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Cambuur - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	4:3
21.12.25	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:2
15.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	2:2
01.12.24	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	2:5
21.01.24	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:1
12.08.23	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	2:0
19.02.23	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	2:2

Upcoming Matches