Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	Coquimbo Unido		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2	3.25	3.75
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.42	4
	1.98	3.42	3.95
	1.91	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.97	3.4	3.81	Watch
	2.01	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	3.79 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
47.2%

Draw
28%

Sportivo Luqueño
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Coquimbo Unido - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 5. Escobar D. 4. Hernandez E. 3. Fernandez M. 28. Cabrera S. 6. Glaby D. 7. Galani S. 26. Barrera C. 30. Chandia B. 32. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 9. Chavez A.	12. Aguilar A. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 5. Villalba A. 23. Aguilar P. (C) 34. Vera Cabrera D. R. 10. Mana N. 18. Rojas R. 8. Mendoza J. 37. Comas L. 28. Acosta D. 27. Benitez J.
Substitutes
24. Alvarado M. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 10. Cabral L. 2. Cabrera B. 8. Camargo A. 16. Cornejo J. 25. Cortes A. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 19. Johansen N. 1. Pinto M. (G) 14. Plaza D. 17. Salinas F.	7. Alegre D. 9. Alvarez A. 14. Benitez F. 1. Falcon G. (G) 26. Fernandez D. 22. Ferreira M. 11. Fretes S. 24. Ledesma A. 25. Miller R. R. 21. Ruiz Diaz S. 6. Suarez M. 3. Villalba I.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Caceres J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Chavez A. ⚽, Escobar D. (A),
34', Mana N. 🟨,
37', Mendoza J. 🟨,
43', Acosta D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
61', Escobar D. 🟨,
67', Benitez J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
67', Comas L. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
68', Acosta D. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
73', Mana N. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
79', Hernandez E. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
79', Chandia B. ↓, Cornejo J. ↑,
87', Vera Cabrera D. R. 🟨,
88', Barrera C. 🟨,
89', Chavez A. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
89', Galani S. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
90+3', Cornejo J. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sportivo Luqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coquimbo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
07.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.24	Audax Italiano - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Deportes Iquique - Coquimbo Unido	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTL
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Racing	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLW

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