Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 30

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo)

Referee: Diaz C. (Chi)


	Coquimbo Unido		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.64	3.9	5.59
	1.62	3.92	5.19	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.65	3.7	5.06	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	5.2 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
57.2%

Draw
24.9%

Unión Española
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

24.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Coquimbo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Coquimbo Unido will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coquimbo Unido will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Coquimbo (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 3. Fernandez M. 4. Hernandez E. 17. Salinas F. 28. Cabrera S. 7. Galani S. (C) 14. Cordero S. 15. Zavala C. 9. Johansen N. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 30. Chandia B.	1. Parra M. (G) 2. Contreras K. 3. Vidal V. 21. Formiliano F. 6. Jauregui B. 7. Ovelar F. 17. Massri F. 25. Castellani G. 9. Insaurralde C. 24. Norambuena G. (C) 27. Robles D.
Substitutes
8. Camargo A. 16. Cornejo J. 22. Donadell N. 1. Flores G. (G) 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 27. Rojas M. 26. Soza L.	4. Celis M. 18. Espinoza F. 14. Nunez I. 34. Ratotti F. 12. Uribe E. (G) 15. Vasquez R. 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.	Villagra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Massri F. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Zavala C. ⚽, Johansen N. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Sanchez D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Galani S. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
51', Chandia B. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Zavala C. ⚽,
60', Cabrera S. ↓, Cornejo J. ↑,
60', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Soza L. ↑,
61', Robles D. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
61', Ovelar F. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
70', Jauregui B. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
72', Zavala C. ↓, Rojas P. ↑,
75', Soza L. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Salinas F. ⚽, Donadell N. (A),
79', Insaurralde C. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,
79', Massri F. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Nunez I. ⚽,
84', Cordero S. 🟨,
84', Castellani G. 🟨,
88', Hernandez E. 🟨,

Preview

Coquimbo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

Unión Española is Relegated to Liga de Ascenso

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 2.

Coquimbo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Unión Española has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coquimbo is the team to beat.

We predict that Coquimbo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
02.12.25	Universidad de Chile - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Palestino - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Coquimbo Unido - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	OHiggins - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWW
- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
30.11.25	Unión Española - OHiggins	2:4 ✺
21.11.25	Deportes Limache - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Everton de Viña - Unión Española	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cobresal - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
21.06.25	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	0:2
02.08.24	Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española	2:2
02.03.24	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	1:0
07.10.23	Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española	3:1
23.04.23	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	2:0
30.10.22	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	1:3
20.05.22	Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española	2:4

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