The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 24.5%
Draw 27%
OHiggins 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.2%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
28%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.
OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Española - OHiggins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Uribe E. (G) 2. Contreras K. 32. Molina L. 3. Alarcon R. 4. Celis M. 20. Wassenne M. 21. Pereira S. 10. Aranguiz P. (C) 17. Massri F. 23. Ojeda U. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
1. Pena Jorge (G) 2. Morales C. 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 22. Robledo A. (C) 13. Munoz J. 5. Pinto G. 14. Maturana M. 29. Yanez B. 9. Castillo A. 30. Tapia J.
Substitutes
18. Aja J. 13. Fierro J. (G) 33. Jaramillo C. 6. Jauregui B. 5. Machado W. 24. Norambuena G. 14. Nunez I. 25. Ovando T. 7. Vasquez R.
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 8. Felipe Ogaz 24. Gonzalez F. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 18. Moreira E. 27. Movillo J. 6. Pavez L. 10. Rabello B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Diaz L. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Yanez B. ⚽, Tapia J. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Castillo A. (Penalty Awarded),
15', Diaz L. ↓, Pavez L. ↑,
16', 1 - 2, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽, Celis M. (A),
21', Maturana M. 🟨,
24', Contreras K. 🟨,
44', Alarcon R. 🟨,
45+2', Pavez L. 🟨,
45+3', Massri F. 🟨,
45+4', Castillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aranguiz P. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
46', Castillo A. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
46', Celis M. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
55', Molina L. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
65', Tapia J. ↓, Rabello B. ↑,
65', Ojeda U. ↓, Jaramillo C. ↑,
78', Norambuena G. 🟨,
82', Pavez L. ↓, Faundez F. ↑,
82', Pinto G. ↓, Felipe Ogaz ↑,
83', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 0.
Unión Española has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
OHiggins has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
OHiggins will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).