The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 57.8%
Draw 24.4%
Deportes La Serena 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24.1%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
25.4%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 15. Zavala C. 10. Vadala G. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 9. Johansen N.
31. Tapia J. (G) 34. Rasso I. 4. Mac Allister F. 26. Dinamarca F. 21. Gutierrez B. 6. Diaz S. 8. Escalante G. 17. Salazar Y. 14. Chamorro F. 2. Figueroa G. 10. Vargas J. (C)
Substitutes
28. Cabrera S. 30. Chandia B. 14. Cordero S. 1. Flores G. (G) 4. Hernandez E. 29. Pons F. 12. Pratto L. 18. Rodriguez P. 26. Soza L.
33. Delgado R. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D. 38. Saez I. (G) 20. Velasquez M.
Coaches
Caputto H.
Gutierrez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Escalante G. 🟨,
29', Cornejo J. 🟨,
41', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
45', Figueroa G. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
45', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Vadala G. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Chamorro F. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
68', Galani S. 🟨,
69', Rasso I. 🟨,
70', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
70', Johansen N. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
76', Chamorro F. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
79', Camargo A. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
90', Fernandez M. 🟥,
90+1', Diaz S. 🟥,
90+2', Salazar Y. ↓, Delgado R. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Rodriguez P. ⚽,
90+10', Caputto H. 🟥,
90+12', Gutierrez F. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 3.
Recent performances by Coquimbo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes La Serena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Coquimbo is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
La Serena
23
7
9
7
34:38
-4
30
11
Coquimbo
23
8
5
10
31:32
-1
29
Last Results with these Odds
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.