Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 25

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jona H. (Chi)


	Ñublense		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.32	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.30
	2.9	3.15	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.47
	3.02	3.21	2.37	Watch
	3	3.2	2.4
	3.1	3.21	2.46	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
31.3%

Draw
29.3%

Coquimbo Unido
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 18. Cespedes D. 15. Valencia S. 14. Campusano J. 21. Reyes L. (C) 8. Graciani G. 10. Plaza M. 28. Rivera M. 11. Molina Canto L. 26. Calderon E.	13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 15. Zavala C. 10. Vadala G. 30. Chandia B. 27. Riveros L.
Substitutes
20. Jeraldino I. 35. Mansilla C. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 3. Salomon C. 16. Sanhueza D. 19. Tapia I.	11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 14. Cordero S. 1. Flores G. (G) 31. Pereira D. 12. Pratto L. 18. Rodriguez P. 26. Soza L. 23. Zepeda M.
Coaches
Nunez V.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Riveros L. ⚽, Cornejo J. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Plaza M. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Cornejo J. 🟨,
45+2', Zavala C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campos Mosqueira F. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
47', Fernandez M. 🟨,
51', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
61', Chandia B. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
61', Camargo A. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
70', Campusano J. 🟨,
71', Calderon E. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
77', Molina Canto L. ↓, Mansilla C. ↑,
77', Plaza M. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
79', Zavala C. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Sanhueza D. ⚽, Ovelar F. (A),
85', Vadala G. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
85', Cornejo J. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
86', Graciani G. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
89', Rivera M. 🟨,
90+1', Munoz H. 🟨,
90+9', Ovelar F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Ñublense (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Coquimbo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Ñublense has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:17 (averaging 0.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ñublense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nublense	25	9	8	8	30:38	-8	35
10	Coquimbo	25	9	5	11	37:36	1	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
12.10.26	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	6:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.09.26	Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.09.26	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Deportes La Serena - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
11.10.26	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	5:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.10.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.09.26	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Cobresal - Coquimbo Unido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
19.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:1
12.09.25	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	2:1
20.04.25	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	0:0
20.07.24	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:0
16.02.24	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	0:0
30.09.23	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:3
14.04.23	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	1:3

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