Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)


	Ñublense		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.63
	2.79	3.11	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.8	3.48	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	2.53 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
33.8%

Draw
29%

Coquimbo Unido
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coquimbo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 16. Sanhueza D. 4. Bosso Torres O. 2. Labrin C. 14. Campusano G. 21. Reyes L. 13. Saavedra D. 20. Mateos F. 8. Graciani G. 11. Sanchez P. 12. Rubio P.	13. Sanchez D. (G) 2. Cabrera B. 4. Hernandez E. 16. Cornejo J. 17. Salinas F. 5. Zepeda M. 7. Galani S. 10. Palavecino M. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 18. Waterman C. 30. Chandia B.
Substitutes
27. Gonzalez R. 28. Molina L. 10. Rozas I. 9. Sosa G. 30. Tapia D. (G) 15. Valencia Cisternas S. A. 5. Valencia E.	8. Camargo A. 14. Cordero S. 22. Donadell N. 1. Flores G. (G) 19. Flores J. 9. Johansen N. 26. Soza L.
Coaches
Gaete A.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Galani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Molina L. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
46', Chandia B. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
63', Waterman C. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
63', Zepeda M. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
66', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
67', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
67', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
71', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
80', Mateos F. 🟨,
80', Mateos F. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
82', Rozas I. 🟥,
89', Palavecino M. ↓, Soza L. ↑,
90+6', Salinas F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 2.

Ñublense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coquimbo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ñublense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Palestino - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLL
- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
12.04.25	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Deportes La Serena - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Coquimbo Unido - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.25	Everton de Viña - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
20.07.24	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:0
16.02.24	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	0:0
30.09.23	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:3
14.04.23	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	1:3
07.08.22	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	2:1
12.03.22	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	0:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.07.18	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:0

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