Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 27

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Coria		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.25	5	10
	1.25	4.73	9.82
	1.26	4.73	9.82
	1.25	4.9	10.9
	1.25	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	4.86 ↑ (4.5)	10.09 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
72.4%

Draw
18.6%

Arroyo
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Coria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arroyo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Coria is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.03.24	Olivenza - Coria	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Coria - Jerez	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montehermoso - Coria	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Coria - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Trujillo - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWW
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.03.24	Arroyo - Calamonte	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Arroyo - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Azuaga - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arroyo - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.11.23	Arroyo - Coria	0:1
13.09.19	Arroyo - Coria	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Coria - Arroyo	2:3

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