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Current Win Probability
Coria 31.1%
Draw 26.7%
Athletic Bilbao B 42.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.3%
27.2%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
26.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Coria - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Garrido J. (G) 17. Blanco A. 5. Trapero 20. Leon I. 3. Guzman J. 10. Gomez S. (C) 8. Llorente E. 22. Nunez B. 18. Gallastegi J. 11. Lopez-Vadillo A. 9. Palacin P.
13. Santos M. (G) 18. Belategi D. 15. Larrea B. 5. Monreal I. (C) 28. El Arbaoui I. 8. Perez A. 23. Sola J. 7. Huestamendia P. 6. Lete E. 11. Conde A. 20. Vizcay T.
Substitutes
1. Alonso A. (G) 4. Calleja J. 2. Curras J. 23. Dominguez A. 21. Leiton M. 24. Morcillo D. 14. Moreno A. 15. Nunez R. 7. Ramos I. 16. Santiago A. 6. Tapia J.
21. Garcia B. 1. Garcia S. (G) 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 14. Korkut E. 19. Oyono I. 17. Pecina A. 2. Perez D. 16. Sanchez S. 27. Zarandona T.
Coaches
Rai Rosa
Bittor Llopis
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Lete E. ⚽, El Arbaoui I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Lopez-Vadillo A. ⚽, Llorente E. (A),
55', Gomez S. 🟨,
58', Conde A. 🟨,
61', Nunez B. ↓, Ramos I. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Trapero ⚽,
65', Palacin P. 🟨,
66', Gallastegi J. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
66', Gomez S. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
69', Blanco A. 🟨,
70', Sola J. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
70', Huestamendia P. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
70', Belategi D. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
78', Palacin P. ↓, Calleja J. ↑,
78', Lopez-Vadillo A. ↓, Morcillo D. ↑,
79', Perez A. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
80', Trapero 🟨,
85', Lete E. 🟨,
90+2', Conde A. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
90+3', Moreno A. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Coria is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Athletic Bilbao B have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Athletic Bilbao B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Ath Bilbao B
9
3
3
3
14:12
2
12
17
CD Coria
9
2
3
4
12:16
-4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Coria - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Athletic Bilbao B - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.