Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.1	2.95	2.28
	3.26	2.98	2.24	Watch
	3.36	2.97	2.23
	3.1	2.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.73)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	2.19 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
27.9%

Draw
30.5%

Talavera de la Reina
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Coria - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Arauz C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Moubeke D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.25	CD Guadalajara - Coria	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Coria - Melilla	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Coria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Illescas	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Conquense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Talavera de la Reina	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Coria	2:1

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