Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 27 December 2022, Tuesday


	Corinthian-Casuals		Aveley

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.45	3.45	1.88
	3.66	3.71	1.89
	3.6	3.25	1.83
	3.66	3.65	1.83
	3.6	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.66)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	1.85 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthian-Casuals
25.3%

Draw
25.8%

Aveley
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.4%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

23.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthian-Casuals's form might have worsened.

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aveley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthian-Casuals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aveley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Corinthian Casuals - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Corinthian-Casuals will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Aveley will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aveley: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Corinthian-Casuals is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Corinthian-Casuals could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aveley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.12.22	Billericay Town - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Hastings United - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0 ✺
22.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLT
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.22	Billericay Town - Aveley	2:0 ✺
09.12.22	Aveley - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Horsham - Aveley	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Aveley - Kingstonian	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Aveley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.08.22	Aveley - Corinthian-Casuals	2:1

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