Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday


	Lewes		Corinthian-Casuals

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	6
	1.36	4.6	6.4
	1.37	4.81	7.11
	1.36	4.75	6.7
	1.38	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.7 ↑ (4)	6.44 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
66.5%

Draw
19.4%

Corinthian-Casuals
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lewes's performance.

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lewes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Lewes - Corinthian Casuals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 1.

Lewes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Corinthian-Casuals is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lewes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lewes have a series of guest games.

In this match Lewes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lewes to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.01.23	Bishops Stortford - Lewes	0:3 ✺
02.01.23	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.22	Hastings United - Lewes	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Kingstonian - Lewes	1:3 ✺
03.12.22	Haringey Borough - Lewes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWW
- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.01.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Haringey Borough	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Kingstonian - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2 ✺
27.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Aveley	1:3 ✺
10.12.22	Billericay Town - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.08.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Lewes	1:1
26.02.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Lewes	0:0
23.11.21	Lewes - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2
01.02.20	Corinthian-Casuals - Lewes	1:0
23.10.19	Lewes - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0
05.03.19	Corinthian-Casuals - Lewes	0:2
05.12.18	Lewes - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0

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