Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	Corinthians		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.29	5	10.5
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.28	4.9	9.6
	1.32	5.05	10.6
	1.25	4.75	11
	1.3	5	9.99	Watch
	1.28	4.7	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	4.93 ↑ (4.7)	10.14 ↑ (8.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
72%

Draw
18.9%

Santo André
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.9%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

19.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Corinthians - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 3. Torres F. 13. Gustavo Henrique 46. Hugo 16. Garro R. 14. Raniele 7. Maycon 11. Angel Romero 9. Yuri Alberto 36. Wesley	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Junior Caicara 3. Joao Maistro 4. Afonso 6. Igor Fernandes 7. Geovane 5. Wellington Reis 8. Dudu Vieira 10. Marciel 11. Cleo Silva 9. Leo Passos
Substitutes
4. Caetano 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 77. Coronado I. 5. Fausto Vera 26. Guilherme Biro 19. Gustavo Mosquito 35. Leo Mana 2. Matheuzinho 15. Pedro Henrique 20. Pedro Raul 34. Raul Gustavo 37. Ryan	22. Alexiel 18. Ariel 21. Bruno Michel 23. David Junio 16. Enzo 20. Felipe Ferreira 19. Lohan 17. Robinho 15. Sousa 14. Walce 12. Wellington Santana (G) 13. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Toni Oliveira	Fernandes M.

Preview

Corinthians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santo André is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santo André could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Corinthians is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.24	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.02.24	Cianorte - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.02.24	Palmeiras - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	1:4 ✺
11.02.24	Corinthians - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWW
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.02.24	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	São Bernardo - Santo André	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Guarani - Santo André	2:2 ✺
12.02.24	Santo André - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Mirassol - Santo André	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.03.23	Corinthians - Santo André	3:1
30.01.22	Santo André - Corinthians	0:1
26.02.20	Corinthians - Santo André	2:1
09.02.18	Santo André - Corinthians	2:1
11.02.17	Corinthians - Santo André	0:2

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