Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Palmeiras		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.90	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.00	6.25
	1.48	4.10	6.75
	1.53	4.15	6.3	Watch
	1.51	3.90	6.15
	1.56	4.07	6.50	Watch
	1.51	4.00	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	6.34 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
61.9%

Draw
23.3%

Corinthians
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Palmeiras - Corinthians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.

Palmeiras is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Corinthians is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Palmeiras holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Palmeiras in today's match, at odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Palmeiras against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47:21	26	57
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.26	Grêmio - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWT
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.09.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:1
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:2
30.07.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.03.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0

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