Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Botafogo SP		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.87
	4.5	3.3	1.83	Watch
	4.59	3.25	1.86
	4.78	3.35	1.82
	4	3.25	1.75
	4.51	3.3	1.81
	4.2	3.2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.28)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
20.8%

Draw
28.2%

Corinthians
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

28.1%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.7%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Botafogo SP - Corinthians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 5. Matheus Barbosa 3. Lucas Dias 4. Bernardo Schappo 2. Wallison 8. Douglas Baggio 10. Maciel L. 6. Jean Victor 7. Emerson Negueba 11. Patrick Brey 9. Jonas Toro	12. Cassio (G) 13. Gustavo Henrique 3. Torres F. 4. Caetano 35. Leo Mana 16. Garro R. 14. Raniele 7. Maycon 11. Angel Romero 9. Yuri Alberto 36. Wesley
Substitutes
19. Alex Sandro 22. Arthur Mosca 15. Carlos Manuel 13. Ericson 16. Fabio Sanches 18. Fillipe Soutto 23. Joao Maranini 12. Klippel B. (G) 17. Pedro Rodrigues 21. Thalles E. 14. Thassio 20. Tiago Alves	29. Arthur Sousa 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 5. Fausto Vera 17. Giovane 26. Guilherme Biro 19. Gustavo Mosquito 46. Hugo 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke Ferrari 30. Matheus Araujo 10. Rojas M. 37. Ryan
Coaches
Gomes P.	Toni Oliveira

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0.

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Corinthians is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
01.02.24	Botafogo SP - Santo André	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTWT
- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.24	Corinthians - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Santos - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
30.01.24	Corinthians - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	São Bernardo - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.23	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	2:0
19.02.22	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	1:1
23.01.20	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	4:1
24.02.19	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:1
11.03.18	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:2
09.04.17	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	1:0
01.04.17	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:0

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