Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 3

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV
Israel	Sport 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
World	Fanatiz


	Corinthians		Água Santa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	5	10.21
				Watch
	1.35	4.4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.21)	4.7 ↓ (5)	9.36 ↓ (14.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
70.2%

Draw
19.9%

Água Santa
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

18.3%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Corinthians - Água Santa Predictions

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Matheus Donelli (C) 35. Leo Mana 3. Torres F. 47. Joao Pedro 46. Hugo 70. Martinez J. 80. Alex Santana 8. Charles 77. Igor Coronado 43. Talles Magno 20. Pedro Raul	1. Ygor Vinhas (G) 2. Diogo Batista 3. Fabio Sanches (C) 4. Robles Fuentes A. 6. Renan Castro 5. Roger 8. Netinho 10. Luan Dias 11. Ramon 7. Neilton 9. Ademilson
Substitutes
5. Andre Ramalho 11. Angel Romero 50. Cadu (G) 19. Carrillo A. 94. Depay M. 58. Gama G. 22. Hernandez H. 2. Matheuzinho 6. Palacios D. 14. Raniele 37. Ryan 9. Yuri Alberto	. Anjos D. 20. Arthur Korek 21. Davi Gomes 22. Gabriel Silva 12. Luan Ribeiro (G) 13. Lucas Rocha 25. Marco Antonio 18. Mike 14. Stephanno 16. Villian 17. Willen 15. Ynaia
Coaches
Diaz R.	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Alex Santana ⚽,
14', Ramon 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Netinho ⚽, Renan Castro (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alex Santana ↓, Ryan ↑,
46', Igor Coronado ↓, Depay M. ↑,
49', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
65', Hugo 🟨,
66', Hugo ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
71', Ademilson ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
71', Neilton ↓, Willen ↑,
74', Charles ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
76', Ramon 🟨,
80', Roger ↓, Villian ↑,
81', Luan Dias ↓, Arthur Korek ↑,
88', Talles Magno ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
90+3', Netinho ↓, Lucas Rocha ↑,

Preview

Corinthians in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Corinthians is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Corinthians to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.01.25	Corinthians - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
16.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Grêmio - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
03.12.24	Corinthians - Bahia	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Criciúma - Corinthians	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
16.01.25	Água Santa - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Água Santa - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Água Santa - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.03.24	Água Santa - Corinthians	0:0
18.01.23	Corinthians - Água Santa	3:0
22.02.20	Água Santa - Corinthians	2:1

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