Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Corinthians U20		Portuguesa Santista U20

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.75	14.00
	1.14	5.7	13.5	Watch
	1.15	6.27	12.68
	1.17	6	13.5	Watch
	1.13	6.2	12
	1.2	5.97	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.32)	5.98 ↑ (4.6)	13.03 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
77.9%

Draw
15.1%

Portuguesa Santista U20
6.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians U20's performance.

Portuguesa Santista U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Santista U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista U20 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Corinthians U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 4 - 1, ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, ⚽,
89', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

In this match, Corinthians U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Corinthians U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
09.10.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Corinthians U20 - XV de Jaú U20	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	XV de Jaú U20 - Corinthians U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Corinthians U20 - America SP U20	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	São Bento U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWWT
- Portuguesa Santista U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
09.10.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:1 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	União Suzano U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
09.10.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0
13.06.26	Corinthians U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	2:0

Corinthians U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20