Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Goiás		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.85	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	2.05	3	3.8	Watch
	2.1	3.14	4.17
	2.03	3.1	4.03
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.05	3.09	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)	3.03 ↓ (3.37)	3.91 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
45.8%

Draw
30.5%

Botafogo SP
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Goiás - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Botafogo SP (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Botafogo SP (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 20. Diego Caito 25. Luisao 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Nicolas 35. Luquinhas 5. Filipe Machado 28. Gege 97. Lourenco 21. Jean Carlos 9. Anselmo Ramon (C)	12. Jordan (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 15. Guilherme Mariano 4. Vilar 6. Patrick Brey (C) 28. Marco Antonio 16. Matheus Sales 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 21. Luizao
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 54. Djalma Silva 16. Farias H. 15. Garcia E. 8. Juninho 40. Kadu 3. Luiz Felipe 32. Murillo (G) 29. Murilo Camara 17. Pedrinho 2. Rodrigo Soares	25. Adriano (G) 26. Felipe Vieira 17. Guilherme Queiroz 33. Hebert 11. Jefferson Nem 19. Marcio Maranhao 20. Marquinho 31. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes 1. Victor Souza (G) 30. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Jordan 🟨,
45', Patrick Brey 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jean Carlos ↓, Kadu ↑,
46', Gege ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
46', Luizao ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
51', Kadu 🟨,
69', Luquinhas ↓, Brayann ↑,
70', Rafael Gava ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
70', Vilar 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Kadu ⚽, Garcia E. (A),
76', Diego Caito ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
77', Kelvin ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
77', Marco Antonio ↓, Marquinho ↑,
83', Everton Morelli ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
85', Nicolas ↓, Djalma Silva ↑,
85', Garcia E. 🟨,
90+1', Filipe Machado 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Goiás: Cadu (Injury) Lucas Lima (Yellow Cards) Ramon Menezes (Red Card)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Injury) Ericson (Knee Injury) Jonathan (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Hygor (Injury) Victor Souza (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Cruzeiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Fortaleza - Goiás	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	São Bernardo - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Goiás - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLT
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
10.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.08.25	Goiás - Botafogo SP	2:3
28.04.25	Botafogo SP - Goiás	0:1
09.09.24	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:0
18.05.24	Goiás - Botafogo SP	4:0

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