Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Coritiba		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	6	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.25
	1.65	3.25	5.7
	1.67	3.46	6.65
				Watch
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.63	3.33	6.39	Watch
	1.62	3.3	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)	3.28 ↓ (3.34)	5.87 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
55.9%

Draw
28.3%

Volta Redonda
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Coritiba - Volta Redonda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Volta Redonda (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Coritiba (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Coritiba will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coritiba will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 26 - 96.3%). Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon (C) 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 8. Filipe Machado 70. Wallisson 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 77. Iury Castilho 49. Dellatorre	31. Jean Drosny (G) 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 5. Bruno Barra (C) 26. Gabriel Bahia 2. Wellington Silva 16. Rai 28. Andre Luiz 20. Pierre 6. Sanchez 9. Italo 11. MV
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 25. Clayson 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 5. Geovane 15. Guilherme Vargas 9. Gustavo Coutinho 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista	1. Avelino (G) 14. Chay 21. Henrique Silva 13. Jhonny 22. Juninho Monteiro 27. Leo Ceara 25. Lucas Tocantins 23. Matheus Lucas 10. PK 8. Robinho 17. Vitinho Lopes
Coaches
Mozart	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),
39', Wallisson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Pinheiro ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
46', Wellington Silva ↓, Jhonny ↑,
46', Andre Luiz ↓, Robinho ↑,
61', Josue 🟨,
63', Filipe Machado 🟨,
64', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
71', Wallisson ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
71', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
73', Robinho 🟨,
74', Italo ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
77', Bruno Melo 🟨,
78', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
78', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
82', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
84', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
85', MV 🟨,
87', Maicon 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Coritiba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volta Redonda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Coritiba is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Inactive) Bruno Viana (Inactive)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Fabricio (Inactive) Lucas Adell (Injury) Marquinhos (Inactive) Matheus Costa (Inactive)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive)

We predict that Coritiba will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Coritiba - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Coritiba - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTTW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
29.06.25	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Volta Redonda - Avaí	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Goiás - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Volta Redonda - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLW

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