Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 11

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.55	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.85
	3.2	2.88	2.38
	3.44	2.85	2.52
	3.4	2.83	2.39	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.9
	3.43	2.8	2.38	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.7)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
29.8%

Draw
33.3%

Coritiba
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

30.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	46.7%	40%

Botafogo SP - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Coritiba (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Coritiba (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coritiba (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Coritiba (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 4 - 40%). Coritiba (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jefferson Nem 3. Ericson 4. Rafael Milhorim 6. Risso G. 10. Maciel L. (C) 5. Gabriel Bispo 7. Jonathan Cafu 8. Abdulai S. 11. Matheus Regis 9. Alexandre Jesus	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon (C) 26. Bruno Melo 73. Zeca 8. Filipe Machado 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 5. Geovane 36. Vini Paulista 91. Gustavo Coutinho
Substitutes
24. Brenno Klippel (G) 14. Carlao 19. Carrillo R. 18. Dramisino A. 15. Edson 12. Joao Carlos (G) 20. Pablo Thomaz 16. Rafael Castro 17. Robinho 21. Tortello 13. Wallison 22. Willian Lins	25. Clayson 49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 38. Geovane Meurer 77. Iury Castilho 55. Jacy 16. Joao Almeida 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser 70. Wallisson
Coaches
Aal A.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
56', Maciel L. 🟨,
57', Geovane ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
60', Alex Silva 🟨,
65', Filipe Machado ↓, Jacy ↑,
65', Vini Paulista ↓, Wallisson ↑,
72', Matheus Regis ↓, Robinho ↑,
76', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
76', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
80', Maciel L. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
90+1', Zeca 🟨,
90+3', Wallisson 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Injury) Jean Victor (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)

There will not play in Coritiba: Gomez S. (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Vargas (Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Iury Castilho (Inactive) Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.25	Ferroviária - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
12.05.25	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	0:3 ✺
04.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo SP	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWLLW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.25	Coritiba - Avaí	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Criciúma - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Coritiba - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Goiás - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Ferroviária - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	1:3
03.08.24	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	2:0
01.11.19	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:1
29.07.19	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	3:2

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