Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Atlético Goianiense		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.87	3.2
	2.3	2.88	3.35
	2.38	2.98	3.51
	2.3	2.93	3.24	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.4
	2.34	2.93	3.42	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.77)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)	3.36 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
40.1%

Draw
32.1%

Coritiba
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Goianiense's performance.

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coritiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Goianiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coritiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 3 - 50%). Coritiba (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ruan Teixeira 3. Alix Vinicius 4. Wallace 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Willian Maranhao 8. Rhaldney (C) 10. Kauan Rodrigues 7. Marcelinho 9. Sandro Lima 11. Cruz A.	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 55. Jacy 3. Maicon 26. Bruno Melo 8. Filipe Machado 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 49. Dellatorre 11. Lucas Ronier 77. Iury Castilho
Substitutes
20. Araos A. 21. Caio Dantas 13. Conrado 16. Heron 12. Leo Rosa (G) 17. Luizao 15. Matheus Felipe 14. Pedro Henrique 18. Robert Conceicao 19. Shaylon 22. Talisson	25. Clayson 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 91. Gustavo Coutinho 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Marcelinho ↓, Talisson ↑,
45+2', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Willian Maranhao ↓, Robert Conceicao ↑,
46', Jacy ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
61', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
61', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
64', Sandro Lima ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
68', Bruno Melo ↓, Joao Almeida ↑,
75', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
80', Cruz A. ↓, Shaylon ↑,
80', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Luizao ↑,
84', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
85', Wallace 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.

Atlético GO has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coritiba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético GO might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Anderson (Inactive) Vladimir (Inactive)

There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas (Injury) Nicolas Careca (Inactive) Wallisson (Yellow Cards) Zeca (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Shaylon (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:2 ✺
27.05.25	América Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Atlético Goianiense - Remo	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLTT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Coritiba - Avaí	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Criciúma - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Coritiba - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Goiás - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.09.22	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
21.05.22	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	2:0
25.02.21	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	3:1
31.10.20	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.19	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
03.05.19	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	1:1
18.08.18	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	1:0

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