The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coritiba 46.3%
Draw 30.2%
Avaí 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
27.9%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
30%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Coritiba - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coritiba will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 26. Bruno Melo 73. Zeca 8. Filipe Machado 38. Geovane Meurer 19. Gomez S. (C) 7. Nicolas Careca 36. Vini Paulista 91. Gustavo Coutinho
1. Igor Bohn (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 35. Pedrao 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 78. Andrey 5. Gustavo Barreto 80. JP 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 99. Cleber 7. Hygor
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 5. Geovane 16. Joao Almeida 11. Lucas Ronier 86. Lucas Taverna 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 97. Ruan Assis 23. Tiago Coser 70. Wallisson
11. Alef Manga 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 94. Emerson Negueba 20. Gaspar 16. Jamerson 90. Mendes 2. Railan 37. Rigley 41. Thayllon 34. Wanderson 4. Weverton
Coaches
Mozart
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Alex Silva ⚽, Filipe Machado (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nicolas Careca ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
46', JP ↓, Mendes ↑,
46', Hygor ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
61', Geovane Meurer ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
61', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
66', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
66', Jonathan Costa ↓, Railan ↑,
71', Pedro Morisco 🟨,
73', Gomez S. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Andrey ⚽,
81', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
87', 2 - 1, de Pena C. ⚽,
89', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Gaspar ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Coritiba could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas
(Injury)
Josue
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Avaí: Joao Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Mario Sergio
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier
(Injury)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
Brazil
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Pedro Morisco (G) 
Gomez S. (C) 
de Pena C. 
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