Match Info

IRELAND: PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 9 June 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turners Cross (Cork) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hennessy R. (Irl)


	Cork City		Dundalk

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.78	3.24	2.74
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.73	3.32	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.46)	3.18 ↑ (3.12)	2.59 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cork City
34.9%

Draw
29.2%

Dundalk
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Cork City - Dundalk Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Dundalk will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cork City: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Corcoran J. (G) 18. Honohan J. 4. Coleman C. (C) 6. Gilchrist A. 27. Custovic K. 8. Bolger A. 5. Healy M. 22. O'Donovan J. 10. Coffey B. 7. Owolabi T. 9. Keating R.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 2. Davies A. 4. Boyle A. 5. Annesley L. 3. Leahy D. 7. Kelly D. 10. Sloggett G. 20. Yli-Kokko J. 28. O'Kane R. 14. Elliott C. 9. Hoban P. (C)
Substitutes
11. Bargary C. 34. Fitzgerald E. 33. Fitzpatrick J. 35. Henderson C. 16. Krezic D. 37. Moynihan D. 24. Murphy C. 30. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 2. Walker G.	30. Byrne M. (G) 13. Cherrie P. (G) 21. Doyle P. 27. Malley C. 11. Martin J. 16. Muller H. 77. Tulloch R. 17. Ward K. 22. Williams W. O.
Coaches
Buckley L.	O'Donnell S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cork City won 1.

Cork City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dundalk is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 36 head-to-head matches Cork City won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 34-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Cork City won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cork City
Irish Premier Division
05.06.23	Cork City - Bohemians Dublin	2:1 ✺
02.06.23	Drogheda United - Cork City	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	Cork City - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Cork City - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Dundalk - Cork City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWWWL
- Dundalk FC
Irish Premier Division
05.06.23	Dundalk - University College Dublin	4:1 ✺
02.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk	2:0 ✺
26.05.23	St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk	2:1 ✺
19.05.23	Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
15.05.23	Derry City - Dundalk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
12.05.23	Dundalk - Cork City	2:1
10.04.23	Cork City - Dundalk	1:0
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Cork City - Dundalk	0:1
Irish Premier Division
13.10.20	Cork City - Dundalk	0:2
24.02.20	Dundalk - Cork City	3:0
18.10.19	Cork City - Dundalk	1:0
06.09.19	Dundalk - Cork City	1:0

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