Match Info

USL League One

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Cabaniss Athletic Complex (Corpus Christi, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Corpus Christi		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.50	3.20	2.48
	2.48	3.39	2.69
	2.46	3.41	2.71	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.65
	2.40	3.20	2.61	Watch
	2.44	3.20	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.62 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corpus Christi
37.4%

Draw
27.9%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corpus Christi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corpus Christi than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corpus Christi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chattanooga Red Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corpus Christi - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talbot J. (G) 6. Langlois P. (C) 4. Keaney J. 5. Roscoe S. 22. Gomez S. 80. Booth A. 8. Dietrich J. 21. Abeal I. 26. Medina A. 2. Bowen B. 12. Keegan J.	1. Smith J. (G) 23. Lelin Y. 33. Ayimbila J. 22. Kinzner E. 11. Ramos J. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 21. Acosta M. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 7. Hernandez O. 20. Mensah R. 10. Bentley M.
Substitutes
19. Barganski K. 10. Cerritos R. 20. Infuso P. 33. Kwakwa E. 30. Mariona J. 24. McCready M. (G) 15. Parks J. 3. Ritondale T. 7. Thomas K. T.	2. Adewole T. 19. Donoho N. 40. Engmann C. 30. Lombardi A. 9. Mercer G. 66. Montoya A. (G) 6. Wessels W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Keegan J. ⚽, Abeal I. (A),
23', Acosta M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Kelly-Rosales A. ⚽, Ramos J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dietrich J. ↓, Kwakwa E. ↑,
65', Medina A. 🟨,
66', Abeal I. ↓, Mariona J. ↑,
68', Bentley M. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
68', Acosta M. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
78', Roscoe S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Bowen B. ⚽,
85', Keegan J. ↓, Cerritos R. ↑,
87', Mensah R. ↓, Engmann C. ↑,
87', Lelin Y. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
89', Kwakwa E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corpus Christi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
10	Corpus Christi FC	29	9	9	11	33:43	-10	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corpus Christi FC
USL League One
01.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Corpus Christi	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Corpus Christi - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Corpus Christi - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Corpus Christi - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
09.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Corpus Christi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWL
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
01.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
25.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Corpus Christi	0:1

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