Match Info

USL League One

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Cabaniss Athletic Complex (Corpus Christi, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Corpus Christi		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	1.92	3.5	3.3
	1.98	3.66	3.29
	1.98	3.66	3.42	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.25
	1.92	3.52	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corpus Christi
46.7%

Draw
25.8%

Sarasota Paradise
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corpus Christi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corpus Christi's performance.

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corpus Christi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corpus Christi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Corpus Christi - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Corpus Christi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talbot J. (G) 6. Langlois P. 5. Roscoe S. (C) 4. Keaney J. 22. Gomez S. 26. Medina A. 8. Dietrich J. 21. Abeal I. 33. Kwakwa E. 2. Bowen B. 12. Keegan J.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 3. Valentine R. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 7. Bryant E. 27. O'Dwyer C. 8. Walker A. 17. Bolanos J. 11. Karani S. 19. McLaughlin G.
Substitutes
19. Barganski K. 10. Cerritos R. 20. Infuso P. 24. McCready M. (G) 15. Parks J. 27. Pondeca T. 3. Ritondale T. 17. Shalita M. 7. Thomas K. T.	2. Burlew R. 18. Krueger B. 14. Pettersen J. 16. Rodriguez A. 46. Roed S. 1. Sutton A. (G) 32. Terzaghi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Walker A. 🟨,
23', Gomez S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Keegan J. ⚽, Abeal I. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Keegan J. ⚽, Bowen B. (A),
37', Keaney J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', McLaughlin G. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
46', Karani S. ↓, Roed S. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Walker A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Dietrich J. ↓, Cerritos R. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Kwakwa E. ⚽,
68', Cerritos R. 🟨,
74', Walker A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Bryant E. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
81', Valentine R. ↓, Pettersen J. ↑,
84', Rosa A. 🟨,
84', Abeal I. ↓, Thomas K. T. ↑,
88', Talbot J. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Thomas K. T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).

In recent matches, Corpus Christi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarasota Paradise is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sarasota Paradise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Corpus Christi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corpus Christi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Corpus Christi FC	29	9	9	11	33:43	-10	36
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corpus Christi FC
USL League One
13.06.26	Corpus Christi - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
09.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Corpus Christi	3:0 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Corpus Christi - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Forward Madison - Corpus Christi	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLT
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
13.06.26	Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	AV Alta - Sarasota Paradise	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Boise - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
22.04.26	Sarasota Paradise - Corpus Christi	2:1

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