Match Info

USL League One

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chattanooga Red Wolves		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.30	4.33
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.59	3.95	5.41
	1.71	3.83	4.45	Watch
	1.57	3.5	4.8
	1.55	3.75	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	4.84 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
56.2%

Draw
24.9%

Naples
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

21.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chattanooga Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naples could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 23. Lelin Y. 7. Hernandez O. 17. Tapia O. 21. Acosta M. 30. Lombardi A. 14. Hernandez P. 10. Bentley M.	99. Grant J. (G) 22. Yoder J. 5. Mastrantonio L. 20. Yearwood J. 3. Cisneros J. 14. O'Connor K. (C) 7. Gray T. 23. Mesias A. 19. Arevalo W. 11. Garcia C. 10. Ferrin A.
Substitutes
2. Adewole T. 19. Donoho N. 12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 6. Wessels W.	18. Bachstein D. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 12. Gay H. 17. Halterman T. (G) 9. Miglietti G. 8. Osorio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Arevalo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapia O. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
63', Lombardi A. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
63', Bentley M. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
68', Mesias A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
68', Arevalo W. ↓, Miglietti G. ↑,
75', Garcia C. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Hernandez O. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Acosta M. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
83', Miglietti G. 🟨,
86', Gray T. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
89', Gay H. 🟨,
90+2', Mercer G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent performances by Chattanooga have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Naples's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chattanooga is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
13.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
27.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- FC Naples
USL League One
13.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Naples	4:3 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Naples - Charlotte Independence	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Union Omaha - Naples	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Naples - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
14.06.25	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2
14.05.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	3:1
08.03.25	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1

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