Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)


	Correcaminos UAT		Atlético Morelia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.1	3.4	2.08	Watch
	3.11	3.72	2.17
	5.01	4.44	1.55	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.12	3.62	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.05)	3.62 ↑ (3.41)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
26.9%

Draw
25.9%

Atlético Morelia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castellanos R. (G) 5. Capeluto J. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 10. Hernandez E. 6. Martinez J. 27. Martinez J. 13. Moreno G. 3. Pereyra J. 31. Salas F. 91. Sarmiento M. 34. Velazquez H.	1. Torres A. (G) 11. Figueroa B. 28. Flores A. 13. Galindo J. 8. Martinez J. 17. Nambo M. 29. Ochoa Brandon 2. Ortega W. 22. Parra D. (C) 30. Sandoval L. 24. Vazquez B.
Substitutes
88. Aguilar A. 104. Arce R. 35. Chavez L. (G) 11. Espinosa Y. 20. Estopier J. 8. Garcia J. 17. Garcia J. 28. Lopez M. 2. Pineda I. 19. Trevino S.	9. del Campo R. 23. Esqueda D. 19. Gallegos D. 16. Garcia U. 34. Gonzalez B. 15. Gutierrez A. 7. Islas O. 32. Moreno G. 20. Palma A. 5. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Flores A. ⚽,
10', Ochoa Brandon 🟨,
18', Sandoval L. 🟨,
30', Cisneros D. 🟨,
37', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+4', Capeluto J. 🟨,
45+4', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Velazquez H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
47', Martinez J. 🟨,
58', Nambo M. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
62', Sarmiento M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
62', Hernandez E. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
62', Moreno G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
62', Salas F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
69', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Torres D. ↑,
69', Sandoval L. ↓, Palma A. ↑,
79', Martinez J. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
89', Capeluto J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Martinez J. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 2.

Atlético Morelia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.04.25	Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT	4:0 ✺
03.04.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:2 ✺
20.03.25	Correcaminos UAT - Venados	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLTL
- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.05.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	2:3 ✺
23.04.25	Atlético Morelia - Atlante	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.03.25	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:2
10.10.24	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	3:0
20.02.24	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	3:1
13.08.23	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	2:0
14.02.23	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1
04.08.22	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	1:0
08.02.22	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1

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