The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cimarrones de Sonora 44.9%
Draw 27.7%
Celaya 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
26.1%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora's form might have worsened.
Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 0.
Cimarrones de Sonora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Celaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Cimarrones de Sonora is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cimarrones de Sonora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Watch
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