The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 57.1%
Draw 21.3%
Correcaminos UAT 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
23.5%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
22%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 21. Robles C. 28. Zurita Jimenez U. 16. Del Aguila Y. 25. Illescas F. 5. Torres E. 20. Garcia M. 77. Alonzo J. 19. Jaimes U. 30. Robles A. 10. Barragan M. (C)
24. Resendez E. (G) 2. Ortega W. 13. Moreno G. 3. Perez O. 19. Catalan A. 7. Islas O. 8. Torres D. 25. Torres E. (C) 10. Guzman W. 29. Mendoza B. 32. Sandoval T.
Substitutes
13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 22. Daccarett J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 9. Ferrer J. 6. Hernandez D. 18. Larios I. 12. Millan O. 15. Torres H. 2. Vazquez S.
27. Cantu J. 22. Di Pippa A. 20. Estopier J. 23. Gonzalez R. 33. Mina D. 1. Perez E. (G) 4. Pinuelas F. 11. Uribe Y. 17. Zapata J.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Pereyra G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Robles C. (Own goal),
18', 1 - 1, Robles A. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
34', Barragan M. 🟨,
40', Islas O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Robles A. ⚽,
53', Perez O. 🟨,
56', Torres E. 🟨,
59', Illescas F. 🟨,
60', Sandoval T. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Robles C. ⚽, Jaimes U. (A),
66', Guzman W. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
74', Illescas F. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
74', Robles A. ↓, Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↑,
78', Mendoza B. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
79', Alonzo J. ↓, Torres H. ↑,
79', Barragan M. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
86', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Daccarett J. ↑,
86', Sandoval T. ↓, Cantu J. ↑,
86', Moreno G. ↓, Di Pippa A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1.
Atlético La Paz is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Correcaminos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Atlético La Paz is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Atlético La Paz in today's match, at odds of 1.62.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Atlético La Paz has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético La Paz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).