Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura Reserves - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Correcaminos UAT 2		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.62
	2.48	3.25	2.66	Watch
	2.44	3.13	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.64 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT 2
37.2%

Draw
28.4%

Leones Negros 2
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Leones Negros 2 aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Trevino S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Correcaminos 2 could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, Leones Negros 2 had a set of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams, Correcaminos 2 won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.04.25	Lobos ULMX - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTLT
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.12.24	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:0
04.12.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	0:1
23.02.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0
23.09.23	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1
12.02.22	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:1
13.10.21	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	1:1
23.11.19	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:0

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide