Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Correcaminos UAT 2		Orgullo Reynosa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.19	3.3	2.77
	2.33	3.22	2.89
	2.25	3.31	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.01)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	2.88 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT 2
40.7%

Draw
27.8%

Orgullo Reynosa
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Orgullo Reynosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orgullo Reynosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orgullo Reynosa than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orgullo Reynosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Orgullo Reynosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Elvira A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Elvira A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Correcaminos 2 is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

Correcaminos 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orgullo Reynosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orgullo Reynosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Correcaminos 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.04.24	Coras - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Real Apodaca	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Calor de San Pedro - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:3 ✺
29.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo	0:0 ✺
22.03.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTW
- Orgullo Reynosa
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.04.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Tuzos UAZ - Orgullo Reynosa	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Coras	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Real Apodaca - Orgullo Reynosa	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Calor de San Pedro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.11.23	Orgullo Reynosa - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Orgullo Reynosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide