The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orgullo Reynosa 30.6%
Draw 30.2%
Gavilanes de Matamoros 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
29.3%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
29.1%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orgullo Reynosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orgullo Reynosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Villanueva V. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Orgullo Reynosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gavilanes de Matamoros is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gavilanes de Matamoros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Gavilanes de Matamoros have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Orgullo Reynosa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Orgullo Reynosa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.