Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Orgullo Reynosa		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.06	2.96	2.34
	3.06	2.97	2.34
	2.92	3.16	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.81)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.33 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orgullo Reynosa
30.6%

Draw
30.2%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.3%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orgullo Reynosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orgullo Reynosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Villanueva V. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Orgullo Reynosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gavilanes de Matamoros is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gavilanes de Matamoros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gavilanes de Matamoros have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Orgullo Reynosa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Orgullo Reynosa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orgullo Reynosa
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Orgullo Reynosa	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Tuzos UAZ - Orgullo Reynosa	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Coras	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Real Apodaca - Orgullo Reynosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWL
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.04.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1 ✺
26.03.24	Mexicali - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Saltillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.04.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1
18.11.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Orgullo Reynosa	0:1

Orgullo Reynosa - Gavilanes de Matamoros

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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