Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Cortes		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.56	2.63	3.06
				Watch
	2.38	3.13	2.92
	2.1	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.35)	3 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
38.8%

Draw
30.7%

Beasain
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cortes's form might have worsened.

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cortes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Cortes - Beasain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Puertas A. (Pen),
39', 1 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Pita M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Cortes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beasain is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cortes could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.06.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	3:0 ET ✺
31.05.25	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	San Juan - Cortes	0:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Cortes - San Juan	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Bidezarra - Cortes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTT
- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.06.25	Portugalete - Beasain	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Beasain - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Beasain - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWW

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