Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Beasain		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	2.02	2.7	4.3
	2	2.38	4.82
	2.05	2.52	4.93	Watch
	2.01	2.65	4.81
	2.02	2.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	2.71 ↓ (3.4)	4.41 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
45.6%

Draw
33.7%

Portugalete
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portugalete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+4%)

Beasain - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Barrera A. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Sansinenea A. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 1.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Beasain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beasain won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.05.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Beasain - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Beasain - Derio	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Santurtzi - Beasain	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.05.25	Portugalete - Deusto	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deusto - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Portugalete - Aretxabaleta	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	San Viator - Portugalete	1:5 ✺
26.04.25	Portugalete - Padura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.10.24	Portugalete - Beasain	2:1
08.06.24	Beasain - Portugalete	1:2
01.06.24	Portugalete - Beasain	0:0
09.03.24	Beasain - Portugalete	0:1
22.10.23	Portugalete - Beasain	0:1
15.05.22	Beasain - Portugalete	2:1
20.03.22	Portugalete - Beasain	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.26	Portugalete - Arosa	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Portugalete - Real Unión de Irun	✺

Beasain - Portugalete