Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Portugalete		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.19	3	3.36	Watch
	2.3	2.92	3.44
	2.15	2.98	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	2.94 ↑ (2.79)	3.28 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
41.3%

Draw
31%

Beasain
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

32.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Portugalete - Beasain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3.

Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beasain is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Beasain has had a series of home games.

Portugalete might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.05.25	Beasain - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Portugalete - Deusto	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deusto - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Portugalete - Aretxabaleta	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	San Viator - Portugalete	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTWW
- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.05.25	Beasain - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Beasain - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Beasain - Derio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.05.25	Beasain - Portugalete	1:1
06.10.24	Portugalete - Beasain	2:1
08.06.24	Beasain - Portugalete	1:2
01.06.24	Portugalete - Beasain	0:0
09.03.24	Beasain - Portugalete	0:1
22.10.23	Portugalete - Beasain	0:1
15.05.22	Beasain - Portugalete	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.26	Portugalete - Arosa	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Portugalete - Real Unión de Irun	✺

Portugalete - Beasain