Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Coruxo		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.55
	2.5	2.75	2.85
	2.7	2.75	2.65
	2.88	2.78	2.96
	2.62	3	2.7
	2.63	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.49)	2.84 ↑ (2.72)	2.74 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
34.2%

Draw
32.3%

Ferrol
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

33.2%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coruxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Coruxo - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage)).

Coruxo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Coruxo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Coruxo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Pontevedra - Coruxo	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Guijuelo - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Coruxo - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Compostela - Coruxo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.02.21	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Compostela - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Ferrol - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Zamora - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.20	Ferrol - Coruxo	4:0
26.01.20	Ferrol - Coruxo	0:1
08.09.19	Coruxo - Ferrol	2:0
06.01.18	Coruxo - Ferrol	3:3
19.08.17	Ferrol - Coruxo	1:0
29.04.17	Coruxo - Ferrol	0:2
04.12.16	Ferrol - Coruxo	5:2

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