Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Zamora		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.3	2.92	3.15
	2.31	2.94	3.35
	2.34	2.89	3.38	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.2
	2.27	2.81	3.3
	2.25	2.83	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.16)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	3.24 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
39.9%

Draw
32%

Ferrol
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Zamora - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 10. Ramos C. 6. Garcia M. 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike (C) 19. Abde 17. Carbonell J.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 14. Tejera S. (C) 5. Noriega J. 18. Concha D. 10. Pascu 7. Alvaro J. 9. Escobar A.
Substitutes
15. Buron L. 14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 9. Losada M. 8. Marcelo A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.	4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 12. Chema 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 6. Fabio 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 20. Gimenez A. 22. Mardones A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Abde ⚽,
34', Tejera S. 🟨,
36', Concha D. 🟨,
43', Miguel 🟨,
43', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Concha D. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
60', Carbonell J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
60', Abde ↓, Losada M. ↑,
60', Alvaro J. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
60', Tejera S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
71', Escobar A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
76', Kike ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
76', Garcia M. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
80', Zalaya A. 🟨,
83', Miguel ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
86', Ramon A. 🟨,
89', Romero Morillo A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferrol's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zamora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ponferradina - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pontevedra - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Avilés - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.25	Ferrol - Zamora	1:0
15.04.22	Ferrol - Zamora	1:3
26.09.21	Zamora - Ferrol	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.01.21	Zamora - Ferrol	1:1

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