Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 8

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Cosmos		Murata

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.1
	1.45	4.34	5.74	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.42
	1.43	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	4.25 ↓ (4.28)	6.12 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cosmos
63.8%

Draw
21.4%

Murata
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Cosmos - Murata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, Mazzoni M. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Gashi E. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 3.

Cosmos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cosmos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cosmos has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cosmos is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Cosmos will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Cosmos	1:3 ✺
17.10.25	Cosmos - Tre Penne	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Virtus - Cosmos	2:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.10.25	Murata - Domagnano	0:6 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Faetano - Murata	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:5 ✺
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.01.25	Murata - Cosmos	2:0
13.09.24	Cosmos - Murata	0:1
16.12.23	Cosmos - Murata	2:1
20.01.23	Murata - Cosmos	2:3
03.09.22	Cosmos - Murata	4:1
16.02.22	Murata - Cosmos	3:0
24.10.21	Cosmos - Murata	0:2

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