Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.55	2.90
	2.65	2.42	2.95
	2.7	2.38	2.99
	2.77	2.50	3.06	Watch
	2.6	2.3	2.9
	2.57	2.54	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.3)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
33.6%

Draw
36.3%

Villa Mitre
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

33.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Costa Brava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-3%)

Costa Brava - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 5. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 11. Gomez T. 9. Gutierrez L. 10. Ibarra L. 3. Pacheco N. 8. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 11. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Cavagnero N. 4. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 10. Paez M. 8. Perez T. 3. Pinto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rivas M. ⚽,
13', 🟨,
14', Bacigalupe S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Perez T. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Costa Brava has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Villa Mitre has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Costa Brava has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Costa Brava against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Mitre - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.43%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.09.26	Costa Brava - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Costa Brava	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Costa Brava - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Círculo Deportivo - Costa Brava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTLW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.09.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Villa Mitre - Huracán Las Heras	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Costa Brava - Villa Mitre	1:0

Costa Brava - Villa Mitre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide