Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Cova De Piedade		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.9	3.1	2
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.6	3.05	2.03
	3.89	3.09	2.08
	3.6	3.2	2.05
	3.66	3.36	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
25.2%

Draw
29%

Moreirense
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

17%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cova De Piedade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cova De Piedade - Moreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cova De Piedade is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreirense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moreirense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Feirense	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.20	Marinhense - Cova De Piedade	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.11.20	Estoril Praia - Cova De Piedade	Estoril awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTLW?
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
05.12.20	Moreirense - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
01.12.20	Moreirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Merelinense - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	Rio Ave - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWL

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