The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 28.2%
Draw 30.2%
Gil Vicente 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
29.9%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
29.1%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
Moreirense - Gil Vicente Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Moreirense (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 10. Bondoso K. 7. Mendonca M. 19. Andrade T. 79. Vonic L.
30. Lucao (G) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. (C) 45. Moreira D. 12. Lausen A. 86. Prioste D. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Garcia S. 20. Pinto Martins G. 23. Hernandez H.
Substitutes
1. Aranha (G) 32. Janderson 4. Kevyn Monteiro 11. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 12. Sampaio F. (G) 2. Santos L. 28. Songa C. 8. Stjepanovic M. 20. Veloso J. 99. Yan Maranhao
17. Bermejo S. 3. Espigares A. 11. Fernandes J. 32. Fernandez M. 19. Guilherme Gomes 99. Kaba M. 82. Maia G. 27. Moreira A. 94. Samuel Portugal (G) 2. Silva J. 7. Toure T. 9. Walace Franca
Coaches
Costa V.
Pinto L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Esgaio R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Lausen A. 🟨,
61', Mendonca M. 🟨,
64', Lausen A. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
66', John N. ↓, Rodri ↑,
66', Bondoso K. ↓, Veloso J. ↑,
70', Pinto Martins G. 🟨,
72', Kaba M. 🟨,
72', Pinto Martins G. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
72', Hernandez H. ↓, Guilherme Gomes ↑,
75', Batista G. 🟨,
77', Mendonca M. ↓, Landerson ↑,
82', Murilo de Souza ↓, Walace Franca ↑,
83', Garcia S. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
86', Vonic L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
89', Maracas 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Walace Franca (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gil Vicente holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Knee Injury)
Tchaptchet A.
(Injury)
Walace Franca
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Moreirense: Veloso J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:20 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Moreirense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Gil Vicente
7
3
2
2
6:5
1
11
12
Moreirense
8
2
2
4
8:15
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Moreirense - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Ferreira A. (G) 
Batista G. 
Maracas 
John N. 
Vonic L. 
Elimbi M. 
Buatu J. (C) 
Moreira D. 
Lausen A. 
Garcia S. 
Songa C. 
Stjepanovic M. 
Fernandez M. 
Kaba M. 
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