The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Ave 27.2%
Draw 30%
Moreirense 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
27.5%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
29.5%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.2%
12.5%
83.3%
Rio Ave - Moreirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Moreirense will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 67.1% โ 98.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Rio Ave (1.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moreirense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Moreirense (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 5. Ntoi A. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 44. Nikitscher T. 18. Spikic D. 77. Richards O. 7. Diogo Bezerra 9. Monteiro T. 11. Blesa J.
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 21. Rodri 8. Stjepanovic M. 11. Alanzinho 2. Travassos 99. Yan Maranhao 10. Kiko Bondoso
Substitutes
6. Abbey N. 22. Chamorro K. (G) 21. Graca J. 54. Liavas G. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 80. Pohlmann O. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J.
25. Assis A. 30. Gower J. 23. John N. 78. Landerson 16. Mika (G) 71. Santos L. 9. Semedo L. 4. Sousa V. 7. Teguia C.
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.
Costa V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Monteiro T. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽, Kiko Bondoso (A),
41', Kiko Bondoso 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Blesa J. ⚽, Ntoi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Stjepanovic M. ⚽, Travassos (A),
58', Rodri 🟨,
60', Nikitscher T. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
60', Spikic D. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
73', Alanzinho ↓, John N. ↑,
74', Rodri ↓, Gower J. ↑,
82', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
85', Ntoi A. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
87', Stjepanovic M. 🟨,
89', Richards O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
89', Travassos ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
90', Pinto D. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2.
Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Moreirense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Moreirense: Caio
(Inactive)
Martinez A.
(Red Card)
Michel
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).