Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Sport 1
Iraq	KTV Sport
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	KTV Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Syria	KTV Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+


	Sporting Lisbon		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	1.15	7	15	Watch
	1.17	7.4	12.5
	1.2	7.73	13.67
	1.25	5.44	12.66	Watch
	1.2	7.42	15.9	Watch
	1.19	6.8	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 (1.19)	6.97 ↑ (6.8)	13.96 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
79.6%

Draw
13.6%

Moreirense
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

13.9%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	13.8%	6.9%

Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Moreirense (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Moreirense (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Virginia J. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. 91. Mangas R. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 14. Kochorashvili G. 7. Quenda G. 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 97. Suarez L.	13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. 66. Batista G. 44. Marcelo (C) 27. Kiko 8. Stjepanovic M. 15. Sousa V. 7. Teguia C. 11. Alanzinho 10. Kiko Bondoso 95. Guilherme Schettine
Substitutes
27. Alisson Santos 20. Araujo M. 41. Diego Callai (G) 22. Fresneda I. 89. Ioannidis F. 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 72. Quaresma E. 52. Simoes J.	25. Assis A. 20. Bernardo 22. Caio (G) 30. Gower J. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 78. Landerson 26. Maracas 17. Martinez A. 99. Yan Maranhao
Coaches
Borges R.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Mangas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Mangas R. ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
54', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
60', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
67', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Suarez L. (Pen),
79', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
85', Sousa V. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
85', Pinto D. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
85', Kiko ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
89', Marcelo 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Goncalves P. (Pen),
90+1', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
90+1', Goncalves P. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Ioannidis F. ⚽, Alisson Santos (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Diomande O. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Silva R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel (Inactive) Sousa V. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:13. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Kairat	4:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.09.25	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Nacional - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
13.09.25	Moreirense - Rio Ave	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Moreirense - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
18.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:1
05.12.24	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	2:1
19.02.24	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
17.09.23	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:0
14.03.22	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
23.10.21	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	1:0
05.04.21	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	1:1

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